EA:M8.4SOUTHERN SUMATRA,INDONESIA.The occurrence % of M8 earthquake up in SUMATRA,INDONESIA.(110%/6day +M6.5[7.3times])(18.5%/6day +M7.5[12times])(50%/1month+M8[5times])[EarthaqukeAlert]
EA:M8.4SOUTHERN SUMATRA,INDONESIA.The occurrence % of M8 earthquake up in SUMATRA,INDONESIA.(110%/6day +M6.5[7.3times])(18.5%/6day +M7.5[12times])(50%/1month+M8[5times])[EarthaqukeAlert]
EA:M8.4SOUTHERN SUMATRA,INDONESIA We predicted that Most happen area of the M8 level earthquake is SUMATRA,INDONESIA High happening period(110%/6day +M6.5[7.3times])(18.5%/6day +M7.5[12times])(50%/1month+M8[5times])[EarthaqukeAlert]
地震注意報 EarthaqukeAlert AlerteSeisme -Mail
Please accept our heartfelt sympathy at this time of sorrow.
M8.2 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
(by JapanMeteologicalAgency)
MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 8.4 2007/09/12 11:10:26 -4.517 101.382 30.0 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
(by USGS)
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地震 = earthquake
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津波 = tunami
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EarthaqukeAlert Predict Infomation
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We observed a sign phenomenon.
09/04-09/16 Alert Period Alerte Période M5.5-M7.5(-9.5) : The reliability: Middle
09/08-09/13 Alert Period Alerte Période M5.5-M7.5(-9.5) : The reliability: Small
The occurrence number estimate of the earthquake +M6.5 in this period
occurrence probability - providing by the professional.
(0-3 85(+160)%)09/04-09/16 2.6(7.5)times the average (0-1 110%)09/08-09/13 7.3times the average The reliability: Small
The occurrence probability of the earthquake +M6.5 VERY HIGH -providing by the Standerd
The occurrence number estimate of the earthquake +M7.5 in this period
occurrence probability - providing by the professional.
(0-1 8.5(+30)%)09/04-09/16 2.6(9.6)times the average (0-1 18.5%)09/08-09/13 12times the average The reliability: Small
the occurring probability of the earthquake of the M8 level
90% within 5 month - average 40%
50% within 1 month - average 10%
Most happen area of the M8 level earthquake is SUMATRA,INDONESIA
High happening period
Doing
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By the EarthquakeAlert
The earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M makes the probability which happens in Japan value.
We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
We are doing and we are providing as the service.
Make these values reference.
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
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ScaleofEarthquake M(magnitude) The damage
Medium-size M5-6 The damage sometimes comes out near the epicenter.
BiggerMedium-size M6-7 The small-scale damage comes out near the epicenter.
Large scale M7- In the earthquake in the inland, causing catastrophe.In the earthquake in the bottom of the sea, causing tsunami.
Hugeness M8- There is a catastrophe over the wide area if happening on the inland.The big tsunami occurs if happening on the bottom of the sea.
ShallowType The depth is shallow.
(ex.：Z=10Km) The damage which is bigger than the scale of the earthquake comes out.
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We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
90%<45% within 1 month> 2006.01.27 M7.7 BANDA SEA
40%(60%) 2005.06.14 M7.8 Northern Chile(60% in new standard)
65%(95%)<30% within 1 month> 2005.03.29 M8.7 The maximum aftershock of Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami/causing earthquake(95% in new standard)
100%<45% within 1 month> 2004.12.26 M9.0Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami
(30% 2004.09.05 M6.9/M7.3 Japan Kii)
(60%<25% within 1 month> 2003.09.26 M8.0 The Hokkaidou Tokachi-oki earthquake)
The probability which happens within an average of 5 months becomes about 40 %.
The probability which happens within an average of 1 months becomes about 10 %.
We provide this service by the service
above Standard.
The one to want to know earlier more in detail apply to the higher rank service.
There is an area which becomes a half price in the earthquake prediction fax service.
・Introduction (5$US/5Euro)/Month [3 hours before] New
・Light (10$US/10Euro)/Month [a half day before]
・Standerd (30$US/30Euro)/Month [2 days before]
・Proffessional (100$US/100Euro)/Month [1 week before]
The one to want to know earlier more in detail apply to the higher rank service.
There is an area which becomes a half price.
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
Original article of Japanese
2007.09.13
EA:M8.4インドネシアスマトラ島南.M8レベルの地震発生率が高まると予知(110%/6日+M6.5[7.3倍])(18.5%/6日+M7.5[12倍])(50%/1ヶ月+M8[5倍])[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2007/09/eam84m81106m657_a0d5.html
EA:M8.4インドネシアスマトラ島南、インドネシアスマトラ島付近は「M8レベルの地震」が最も起こりやすい地域(1位)で「発生率が高い期間」と予知。(110%/6日+M6.5[7.3倍])(18.5%/6日+M7.5[12倍])(50%/1ヶ月+M8[5倍])[地震注意報]
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