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January 30, 2005

100 % of probabilities that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the Indonesian Sumatra offing earthquake occurrence times in the world[EarthquakeAlert]

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contents
100 % of probabilities that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the Indonesian Sumatra offing earthquake occurrence times in the world
EarthaqukeAlert Predict Information


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100 % of probabilities that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the Indonesian Sumatra offing earthquake occurrence times in the world
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By now in EarthquakeAlert, we were seeing the occurrence of the earthquake in the world but we were reporting the possibility of the occurrence of the big earthquake ( M equal to or more than 6.5 ) in Japan with the occurrence making numerical value with the scale of the expected earthquake, to be better for the precision.

By that there was occurrence of the Indonesian Sumatra offing earthquake, we ordered the earthquake sign phenomenon of the earthquake with the big magnitude which happens in the world and we made the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level numerical value in the world.

In the world, about 10 earthquakes of eight classes of M occur to 10 years.
One occurs to 1 year when averaging.
The probability which happens within an average of 5 months becomes about 40 %.

On the other hand, when the Indonesian Sumatra offing earthquake occurs, they are 100 %, it is possible to say that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the quite high probability.

(It wasn't possible to verify about all, verified by the earthquake data in the past by them but to have enough precision as the index was confirmed.)

We will report " the probability that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the world " at the course above the standard.
Please use with " the probability that the earthquake with M equal to or more than 6.5 happens in Japan ".


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EarthaqukeAlert Predict Information
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For the victim of earthquake of the Indonesian Sumatra island offing earthquake M9.0 , plese distribute with "Original article of Japanese" without remake in each earthquake tsunami damage country and for the rescue party to each earthquake tsunami damage country , until 2005 Jan.26 .

If supposing that the aftershock of Indonesian Sumatra Earthquake this time occurs in the M8 level, there is possibility to be caught in " the probability that the earthquake of the M8 level happens in the world " to have succeeded in making value this time.

This time, with Indonesian Sumatra Earthquake M9.0, we make the fee of the earthquake prediction fax service a half price for 1 year from the subscription in phone number specification by the organization which does rescue operation in each earth quake sea wave damage domestic and the earth quake sea wave damage and so on or at the time of the e-mail addressing in the corresponding country domain.


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地震 = earthquake = seisme = gempa bumi = แผ่นดินไหว = भूकम्प
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津波 = TUNAMI
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By now in EarthquakeAlert, we were seeing the occurrence of the earthquake in the world but we were reporting the possibility of the occurrence of the big earthquake ( M equal to or more than 6.5 ) in Japan with the occurrence making numerical value with the scale of the expected earthquake, to be better for the precision.

We will report " the probability that the earthquake over the M8 level happens in the world " at the course above the standard.
Please use with " the probability that the earthquake with M equal to or more than 6.5 happens in Japan ".


The one to want to know earlier more in detail apply to the higher rank service.
There is an area which becomes a half price.

The earthquake prediction FAX service and earthquake prediction Mail service application
http://www.h7.dion.ne.jp/~yousukef/ohnai/mailform.html

Original article of Japanese
2005.01.29
インドネシアスマトラ沖地震発生時世界でM8以上の地震の起こる確率100%[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2005/01/m8100.html


To comment and trackback[EarthquakeAlert]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/2004/12/to_comment_and_.html

EarthquakeAlert SéismeAlerte
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http://www.h7.dion.ne.jp/~yousukef/index-e.html English(&Français)
http://www.h7.dion.ne.jp/~yousukef/index-k.html (Small computer)

http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/ (Japanese blog)
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/ (This blog)

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