The California Saint Andreas fault The earthquake of M7 attacks at 80 - 90 % within 30 years. One scholar predicts 50 % within 1 year[EarthquakeAlert]
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The California Saint Andreas fault The earthquake of M7 attacks at 80 - 90 % within 30 years. One scholar predicts 50 % within 1 year
EarthaqukeAlert Predict Infomation
The California Saint Andreas fault The earthquake of M7 attacks at 80 - 90 % within 30 years. One scholar predicts 50 % within 1 year
Learn from the Gulf Coast; be prepared should 'big one' hit(The Desert Sun, CA)
http://www.thedesertsun.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050908/OPINION01/509080328/1004
Earthquakes pose a very real threat to the valley, especially with the San Andreas fault running right through it. Geologists estimate that major quakes - the type that would bring down buildings - hit the fault's southern section about once every 150 years. The last quake of that magnitude struck 148 years ago. That has led at least one seismologist to predict the valley has a 50 percent chance of experiencing a magnitude-7 earthquake during the next year.
California Earthquake Could Be the Next Katrina(Los Angeles Times, CA)
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-me-quake8sep08,0,3035306.story?coll=la-home-headlines
A catastrophic temblor at the right spot along the San Andreas could significantly reduce energy and water supplies — at least temporarily, she and others(Jones, scientist-in-charge for the geological survey's Southern California Earthquake Hazards Team, and other experts) said. Researchers at the Southern California Earthquake Center said there is an 80% to 90% chance that a temblor of 7.0 or greater magnitude will strike Southern California before 2024.
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EarthaqukeAlert Predict Infomation
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The guide which is
In the EarthaqukeAlert, it covers all of the main damage earthquakes and in M7 and M8, 9 big earthquakes, the alarm can be more surely given.
Because the estimate scale is M7 about the occurrence of the earthquake in California which is for occurrence's being warned of this time, too, it thinks that the possibility to originate in Alert Period of the EarthaqukeAlert is high.
Because it is seeing the occurrence of the earthquake in the world, the EarthaqukeAlert can take a sign phenomenon about the earthquake which is forecast this time which is predicted M7, too, in the future and may be able to narrow it in the period and so on.
If supposing that it becomes eight classes of M, a sign phenomenon is estimated to be able to be more surely taken.
Therefore, it receives the earthquake predict of California this time and in phone number specification of California, we make the fee of the earthquake prediction fax service half 3 months from the subscription.
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
40%(60%) 2005.06.14 M7.8 Northern Chile(60% in new standard)
65%(95%) 2005.03.29 M8.7 The maximum aftershock of Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami/causing earthquake(95% in new standard)
100% 2004.12.26 M9.0Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami
(30% 2004.09.05 M6.9/M7.3 Japan Kii)
(60% 2003.09.26 M8.0 The Hokkaidou Tokachi-oki earthquake)
The probability which happens within an average of 5 months becomes about 40 %.
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above Standard.
The one to want to know earlier more in detail apply to the higher rank service.
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Original article of Japanese
2005.09.09
カリフォルニアサンアンドレアス断層 30年以内に80-90%でM7の地震が襲う 1年以内に50%とする学者も[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2005/09/_308090m7_150_504e.html
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