EA:Death of 66+ by roof collapse at the Polish exhibition hall.Enter in January, the occurrence % up.(110 % of occurrence %) [EarthaqukeAlert]

EA:Death of 66+ by roof collapse at the Polish exhibition hall.Enter in January, the occurrence % up.(110 % of occurrence %) [EarthaqukeAlert]

EA:Death of 66+ by roof collapse at the Polish exhibition hall predicted that the occurrence % is rising at one of the areas where it is easy for the diastrophism to happen most about the occurrence, at Poland in Alert Period.Enters in January, the occurrence % rises(110 % of occurrence %)[EarthaqukeAlert]

地震注意報 EarthaqukeAlert SeismeAlerte -Mail

Please accept our heartfelt sympathy at this time of sorrow.

The death of equal to or more than 66 by roof collapse of the Polish exhibition hall predicted that the occurrence percentage is rising at one of the areas where it is easy for the diastrophism to happen most about the occurrence, Poland in Alert Period.
It enters in January and the occurrence percentage rises.
( 110 % of occurrence percentage )
( The world: Being from 6.5 M in this Alert Period ) to ( 110 % of occurrence percentage of the earthquake ).
From the sign phenomenon observation by the EarthaqukeAlert in case of the occurrence
By one of the areas where it is easy for the diastrophism to happen most about the area from Germany where Poland is put in to Russia
Specifically, it entered in January and the occurrence percentage was rising.

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The death of 60 of Polish roof collapse (01/29 night NHK news)
The administrator: The cleaning the snow from the roof is appropriate.

NHK WORLD DAILY NEWS(Radio Japan)
http://www.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/
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Reference
2006.01.28
EA:7.7 BANDA SEA.110% of occurrence %.We predicted this Earthquake.[EarthaqukeAlert]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/2006/01/m77_banda_seaat.html

2006.01.28
EA: During the area in case of the collapse fatal accident occurrence in the dirt in Niigata City where the neighborhood of Niigata City happens from M6.5 to 2 weeks by the earthquake, in Alert Period it is easy happens[EarthaqukeAlert]
EA:新潟市で土砂が崩れ死亡事故発生時、新潟市付近がM6.5以上の地震が2週間以内に起こりやすい地域、特別注意期間中[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2006/01/eam652_6f04.html

June 15, 2005
M7.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. We predicted this Earthquake.[EarthquakeAlert]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/2005/06/m70_off_the_coa.html

October 08, 2005
M7.6 PAKISTAN. We predicted this Earthquake.[EarthquakeAlert]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/2005/10/m76_pakistan_we.html
The time of the earthquake occurring
As for the area from the western part of India to the Iranian northwest, at one of the areas where it is easy for the earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M to happen most, the occurrence percentage was rising specifically this year since the summer.

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地震 = earthquake
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EarthaqukeAlert Predict Infomation
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The occurrence evaluation of the earthquake in the world

01.26PM-01.30 Alert Period Alerte Période M5.5-M7.0(-8.0) : The reliability: Middle
The occurrence number estimate and the occurrence probability of the earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M in this period
occurrence probability - providing by the professional.
(0-4 110%)

The probability that the earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M happens in Japan within 1 month in the future including this period is [ providing by the pay service ].
The average probability becomes 10 - 30 % ( due to the calculation method and the period covered ).
( The possibility of the central part and the eastern Japan in the last time, too, is little left. )-providing above the Standerd

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The earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M makes the probability which happens in Japan value.
We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
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ScaleofEarthquake M(magnitude) The damage

Medium-size M5-6 The damage sometimes comes out near the epicenter.
BiggerMedium-size M6-7 The small-scale damage comes out near the epicenter.
Large scale M7- In the earthquake in the inland, causing catastrophe.In the earthquake in the bottom of the sea, causing tsunami.
Hugeness　M8-　There is a catastrophe over the wide area if happening on the inland.The big tsunami occurs if happening on the bottom of the sea.

ShallowType The depth is shallow.
(ex.：Z=10Km) The damage which is bigger than the scale of the earthquake comes out.
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We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
40%(60%) 2005.06.14 M7.8 Northern Chile(60% in new standard)
65%(95%)<30% within 1 month> 2005.03.29 M8.7 The maximum aftershock of Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami/causing earthquake(95% in new standard)
100%<45% within 1 month> 2004.12.26　M9.0Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami
(30% 2004.09.05 M6.9/M7.3 Japan Kii)
(60%<25% within 1 month> 2003.09.26 M8.0 The Hokkaidou Tokachi-oki earthquake)
The probability which happens within an average of 5 months becomes about 40 %.
The probability which happens within an average of 1 months becomes about 10 %.

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Original article of Japanese
2006.01.30
EA:ポーランド展示場の屋根崩落６６人以上死亡.1月に入り発生率が高まる(発生率110%)[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2006/01/ea1110__4c4d.html

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