M6.0 Pakistan (Z=10km)[Second biggest aftershock] on November 06 which was in the Alert Period.[EarthquakeAlert]
EarthaqukeAlert SeismeAlerte -Mail
Magnitude 6.0 - PAKISTAN
2005 November 06 07:12 a.m. (0212 GMT)
Depth 10 km
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Strong quake jolts northern Pakistan(NewKerala.com, India)
http://www.newkerala.com/news.php?action=fullnews&id=48838
Islamabad: Panic again gripped people in Pakistan-administered Kashmir early Sunday after a strong earthquake measuring 6.0 on the Richter scale shook the region already devastated by killer tremors on Oct 8.
The tremors occurred at 07:12 a.m. (0212 GMT)
Seven people were injured, one critically, when a house collapsed in Lundi village in Batgram district, according to an Inter Services Public Relations (ISPR) statement here. A Pakistan army team evacuated them to a field hospital.
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M6.0 Pakistan (Z=10km)[Second biggest aftershock] on October 23th which was in the Alert Period.
It didn't become a maximum aftershock but the animation was seen in Alert Period to the aftershock activity in Pakistan which was heading for the convergence.
In Pakistan,the biggest aftershock becomes M6.4.(ｂｙ USGS)
The Pakistani earthquake this time is showing the change of the main shock aftershock type.
Generally, aftershock is smaller about 1at the magnitude compared with the main shock and is smaller over 0.5 in the maximum aftershock.
The aftershock decreases with the time elapse as a whole while it becomes animated and dies down and repeats.
Also, it is possible to say " that few big earthquakes occur and that many small earthquakes occur " as the tendency.
In the EarthquakeAlert, because to take the animation and a settlement ( the shaking of the seismic activity ) is made, that the aftershock which is big in the future, too, originates in the Alert Period is thought of.
* As the current judgement
But an aftershock activity is regarded as decreasing with the time elapse as a whole
It regards there as being occurrence of the aftershock which exceeds M5 about about 3-4 months from October 08 [M7.6 PAKISTAN].
The occurrence of the aftershock of M6 classes,that the possibility becomes low, but is not the status that the occurrence can be denied.
When an activity in the place makes an effort toward the protection of the head for the epicenter, too, to become Pakistan (Z=10km) and damaged area falling plumb down and is accompanied by the dangerous work, pay attention to the aftershock and go.
Reference
October 08, 2005
M7.6 PAKISTAN. We predicted this Earthquake.[EarthquakeAlert]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/global/2005/10/m76_pakistan_we.html
The time of the earthquake occurring
As for the area from the western part of India to the Iranian northwest, at one of the areas where it is easy for the earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M to happen most, the occurrence percentage was rising specifically this year since the summer.
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EarthaqukeAlert Predict Infomation
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The forecast information on this time
11.05-11.06 Alert Period Alerte Période M5.5-M7.0(-8.5) : The reliability: Small
** We carried the scale and AlertPeriod of the earthquake information
as provide[Introduction]
at the beginning of the period for about 2 weeks on the home page by Pakistani earthquake M7.6 this time.
For the victim of the PAKISTAN earthquake M7.6 , plese distribute with "Original article of Japanese" without remake in each earthquake damage country and for the rescue party to each earthquake damage country , until 2005 November 08 .
Cette fois avec le tremblement de terre Pakistan, nous avons transforme la distribution et les semblables en la periode jusqu'au 2005 novembre 08 et le pays et le systeme et l'action de secours en libre.
* By the subscription to the organization which does rescue operation in the earthquake damage and so on
･ The introduction version service Introduction [ 3 hours before ]
( Earthquake prediction Mail service (with S/MIME to PC ) )
We provide service in the free for 1 month.
** We carried the scale and AlertPeriod of the earthquake information
as provide[Introduction]
at the beginning of the period for about 2 weeks on the home page by Pakistani earthquake M7.6 this time.
This time, with the PAKISTAN earthquake M7.6, we make the fee of the earthquake prediction fax service a half price for 6 Months from the subscription in phone number in PAKISTAN and the e-mail addressing in PAKISTAN domain.
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
Reference
The forecast of the maximum aftershock which is provided in the EarthquakeAlert is a maximum aftershock forecast in the period when the 1st occurrence percentage within about 1 week is high statistically after there is a main shock.
Being under with the aftershock forecast its since then, as for the special and big aftershock, it is possible to estimate like another big earthquake, too.
By the EarthquakeAlert
The earthquake of equal to or more than 6.5 M makes the probability which happens in Japan value.
We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
We are doing and we are providing as the service.
Make these values reference.
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
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ScaleofEarthquake M(magnitude) The damage
Medium-size M5-6 The damage sometimes comes out near the epicenter.
BiggerMedium-size M6-7 The small-scale damage comes out near the epicenter.
Large scale M7- In the earthquake in the inland, causing catastrophe.In the earthquake in the bottom of the sea, causing tsunami.
Hugeness M8- There is a catastrophe over the wide area if happening on the inland.The big tsunami occurs if happening on the bottom of the sea.
ShallowType The depth is shallow.
(ex.：Z=10Km) The damage which is bigger than the scale of the earthquake comes out.
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We make the happening probability of the earthquake of the M8 level value in the world.
40%(60%) 2005.06.14 M7.8 Northern Chile(60% in new standard)
65%(95%) 2005.03.29 M8.7 The maximum aftershock of Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami/causing earthquake(95% in new standard)
100% 2004.12.26 M9.0Indian Ocean earthquake tsunami
(30% 2004.09.05 M6.9/M7.3 Japan Kii)
(60% 2003.09.26 M8.0 The Hokkaidou Tokachi-oki earthquake)
The probability which happens within an average of 5 months becomes about 40 %.
We provide this service by the service
above Standard.
The one to want to know earlier more in detail apply to the higher rank service.
There is an area which becomes a half price in the earthquake prediction fax service.
・Introduction (5$US/5Euro)/Month [3 hours before] New
・Light (10$US/10Euro)/Month [a half day before]
・Standerd (30$US/30Euro)/Month
[2 days before]
・Proffessional (100$US/100Euro)/Month [1 week before]
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
[ It is possible to begin on the same day of the service. ]
For the victim of the PAKISTAN earthquake M7.6 , plese distribute with "Original article of Japanese" without remake in each earthquake damage country and for the rescue party to each earthquake damage country , until 2005 November 08 .
Cette fois avec le tremblement de terre Pakistan, nous avons transforme la distribution et les semblables en la periode jusqu'au 2005 novembre 08 et le pays et le systeme et l'action de secours en libre.
This time, with the PAKISTAN earthquake M7.6, we make the fee of the earthquake prediction fax service a half price for 6 Months from the subscription in phone number specification by the organization which does rescue operation in each earth quake sea wave damage domestic and the earth quake sea wave damage and so on or at the time of the e-mail addressing in the corresponding country domain.
Original article of Japanese
2005.11.07
M6.0 パキスタン(Z=10km)が特別注意期間に発生[地震注意報]
http://earthquakealert.cocolog-nifty.com/blog/2005/11/m60_z10km_c5af.html
EarthquakeAlert SéismeAlerte
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